Thursday, January 17, 2008

Blasphemous Rumor Watch (#1)

There's a new, long and somewhat boring (unless you're a scientist of course) study that was released in the December 2007 edition of the International Journal of Climatology...

A comparison of tropical temperature trends with model predictions

You'll need to register to read the whole thing, but here's a somewhat digestible bit...
We examine tropospheric temperature trends of 67 runs from 22 "Climate of the 20th Century" model simulations and try to reconcile them with the best available updated observations (in the tropics during the satellite era). Model results and observed temperature trends are in disagreement in most of the tropical troposphere, being separated by more than twice the uncertainty of the model mean.
When I translate this into English, it would seem that what these two climatology researchers are really saying is that the increased temperatures that were predicted by previous (and sacred) computer models are off by quite a bit. Unless this report is total crap, I'm not sure if it's such a good idea to continue making all kinds of dramatic changes based on what looks like some fairly shaky data. Do you?

So my only question is... What should be done with these heretics folks? Obviously on the payroll of Big Oil...

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